У статті оцінюється вплив погодних умов на динаміку базових видів економічної діяльності (ВЕД) і зведеного індексу економічної активності. Для побудови та оцінки авторегресійних моделей із розподіленими лагами (ARDL) використано статистичні дані Центральної геофізичної обсерваторії імені Бориса Срезневського (ЦГФО) та Державної служби статистики України за період із січня 2004-го до грудня 2019 року. Отримані результати свідчать, що погодні коливання помітно впливають на динаміку місячних показників окремих галузей економіки України, насамперед сільського господарства, будівництва, переробної промисловості та енергетичного сектору. Отже, введення в регресійне рівняння детермінант погодних умов потенційно покращує якість моделювання та прогнозування економічної активності.
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